Sport Picks
Mestre vs Luparense FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group C 
Match Events
6'
6'
Longo P.
23'
23'
Avdullari D.
54'
54'
Carron L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C game between Mestre and Luparense FC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luparense FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Luparense FC's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what Mestre have produced (1.03).
- Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mestre Clean Sheet 22%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mestre | Luparense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Luparense FC
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Mestre
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Luparense FC
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Luparense FC vs Mestre
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Luparense FC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mestre Compare
Top Goalscorer Longo P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Luparense FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Carron L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mestre 10 / 100
Luparense FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mestre Luparense FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mestre scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Luparense FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Mestre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mestre VS Luparense FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mestre
(Home) 07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2 Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1 Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2 Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0 Mestre
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2 Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1 Campodarsego
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2 Altavilla
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Luparense FC
(Away) 04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0 Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0 Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3 Luparense FC
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0 Luparense FC
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
02 Aug
Vicenza
4 : 0 Luparense FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cjarlins Muzane | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Luparense FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Calcio San Dona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Clodiense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Bassano Virtus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Calvi Noale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Lavarian Mortean Esperia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Este | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Legnago Salus | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Conegliano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 7 |
| 13 | Altavilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Triestina | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Virtus Bolzano | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:18 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Obermais | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 17 | Schio | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 18 | Brian Lignano | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
