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Mestre vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Corti A.

AI Match Summary

Mestre in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mestre
20%
Draws
29%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treviso lately — more wins on the board than Mestre.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mestre Clean Sheet 20%
Treviso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Treviso
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Treviso
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Mestre
1:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Mestre
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Treviso
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Mestre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Treviso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 32 / 100
Treviso 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Mestre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Treviso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Treviso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Treviso
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1
Legnago Salus
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
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Treviso

(Away)
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)