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Mestre vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Corti A.

AI Match Summary

Mestre in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mestre
20%
Draws
29%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treviso lately — more wins on the board than Mestre.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mestre Clean Sheet 20%
Treviso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Treviso
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Treviso
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Mestre
1:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Mestre
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Treviso
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Mestre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Treviso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 32 / 100
Treviso 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Mestre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Treviso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Treviso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Treviso
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1
Legnago Salus
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
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Treviso

(Away)
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)