Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalac vs Graficar Beograd

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Nikolic L.
46'
Sub
Nikolic L. In: Zivanovic M.
Out: Nikolic L.
46'
Djordjevic U.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Metalac and Graficar Beograd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metalac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Metalac
15%
Draws
20%
Graficar Beograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metalac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metalac come out ahead of Graficar Beograd on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Metalac taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Metalac Clean Sheet 68%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalac Graficar Beograd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Metalac vs Graficar Beograd
1:0
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Graficar Beograd vs Metalac
0:2
Nov 12, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Metalac
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Metalac vs Graficar Beograd
1:3
Apr 12, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Metalac
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalac Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinkovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Graficar Beograd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalac 95 / 100
Graficar Beograd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalac Graficar Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalac scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Graficar Beograd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Metalac remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metalac VS Graficar Beograd
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalac

(Home)
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
16 Sept
Borac 1926
1 : 2
Metalac
11 Sept
Metalac
5 : 0
Dubocica
05 Sept
Proleter 023
0 : 0
Metalac
29 Aug
Metalac
2 : 4
Loznica
Page 1 of 6

Graficar Beograd

(Away)
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1
Graficar Beograd
31 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 4
Dubocica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 10 8 0 2 18:11 24
2 Vrsac 10 7 0 3 16:10 21
3 TSC Backa Topola 10 5 5 0 18:10 20
4 Javor 10 5 4 1 25:12 19
5 Smederevo 10 5 3 2 19:13 18
6 Spartak Subotica 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
7 Metalac 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
8 FK Vozdovac 10 4 2 4 11:10 14
9 Dubocica 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
10 Napredak 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
11 Loznica 10 2 6 2 14:16 12
12 OFK Bor 1919 10 2 2 6 7:17 8
13 Proleter 023 10 1 4 5 10:15 7
14 Jedinstvo Ub 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
15 Graficar Beograd 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
16 Teleoptik 10 1 4 5 11:19 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)