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Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Baran R.
29'
Savin A.
33'
Sherstyuk Y.

AI Match Summary

Metalist Kharkiv in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalist Kharkiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Metalist Kharkiv
15%
Draws
45%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metalist Kharkiv lately — more wins on the board than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
  • Model gives Metalist Kharkiv a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 18%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:2
Oct 9, 2024 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Orikhovskyi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lutsiv P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 36 / 100
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Metalist Kharkiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Away)
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)