Sport Picks
Metalist Kharkiv vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv 
AI Match Summary
Metalist Kharkiv host Fenix Mariupol in the Persha Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Metalist Kharkiv at 1.1 goals for, 1.1 against; Fenix Mariupol at 1.47 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Metalist Kharkiv have won 4 to Fenix Mariupol's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.31) point toward Metalist Kharkiv. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fenix Mariupol haven't matched Metalist Kharkiv's recent run of results.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Fenix Mariupol taking it.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Metalist Kharkiv have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalist Kharkiv | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metalist Kharkiv scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Fenix Mariupol conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Metalist Kharkiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Metalist Kharkiv
(Home)Fenix Mariupol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Fenix Mariupol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
