Sport Picks
Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv 
Match Events
26'
26'
Khoblenko O.
42'
42'
Vernattus D.
46'
46'
Sub
Andrushchenko M. In: Zhdanovych O.
Out: Andrushchenko M.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga game between Metalist Kharkiv and UCSA finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metalist Kharkiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Metalist Kharkiv come out ahead of UCSA on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
UCSA Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalist Kharkiv | UCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA
3:1
May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:1
May 18, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:3
Apr 18, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Vernattus D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Digtyar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
UCSA Compare
Top Goalscorer Khoblenko O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metalist Kharkiv 41 / 100
UCSA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metalist Kharkiv UCSA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Metalist Kharkiv's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
UCSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Metalist Kharkiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Metalist Kharkiv VS UCSA
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Metalist Kharkiv
(Home) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
15 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
0 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 3
UCSA
(Away) 04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2 UCSA
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0 UCSA
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2 UCSA
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0 UCSA
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
15 Aug
SC Poltava
0 : 0 UCSA
25 Jul
Zhytomyr 2
2 : 2 UCSA
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
