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Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Metalist Kharkiv Logo

Metalist Kharkiv

2 - 2
FT
Victoria Logo

Victoria

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dedyaev A.
28'
Sub
Novotryasov A. In: Melnyk D.
Out: Novotryasov A.
30' Event
Vernattus D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Metalist Kharkiv and Victoria finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Metalist Kharkiv
35%
Draws
32%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Metalist Kharkiv have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Victoria are scoring more at 1.21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Victoria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv Victoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria
2:2
Sep 9, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Victoria vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Vernattus D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsvirenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Dedyaev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dobrokhotov Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 41 / 100
Victoria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metalist Kharkiv scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Victoria conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Metalist Kharkiv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS Victoria
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
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Victoria

(Away)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)