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Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Dobrokhotov Y.
33'
Fedoriv V.
50' Event
Teplyakov D.

AI Match Summary

Metalist Kharkiv in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalist Kharkiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Metalist Kharkiv
11%
Draws
9%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metalist Kharkiv lately — more wins on the board than Victoria.
  • Model gives Metalist Kharkiv a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Victoria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv Victoria
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Teplyakov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsvirenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharay S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 86 / 100
Victoria 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Victoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Metalist Kharkiv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS Victoria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
UCSA
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Victoria

(Away)
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0
Victoria
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
16 May
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Victoria
10 May
Victoria
2 : 2
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)