Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metallurg Bekabad vs Jayxun

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Metallurg Stadium, Bekabad
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Jocic B.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Metallurg Bekabad and Jayxun finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Metallurg Bekabad
15%
Draws
32%
Jayxun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Metallurg Bekabad a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 20%
Jayxun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad Jayxun
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs Jayxun
1:0
May 5, 2026 Pro Liga
Jayxun vs Metallurg Bekabad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Jocic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jayxun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
Jayxun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad Jayxun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metallurg Bekabad scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Metallurg Bekabad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jayxun let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS Jayxun
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metallurg Bekabad

(Home)
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Aug
TerDU
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
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Jayxun

(Away)
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
25 Aug
Jayxun
3 : 1
Yaypan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)