Sport Picks

Uzbekistan

Super League 2024 Metallurg Stadium

Metallurg Bekabad

1 - 1

OKMK

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Rustamov O.

28'

Urinboev Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Metallurg Bekabad

11%

Draws

OKMK

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

OKMK have won more games recently than Metallurg Bekabad.
Win probability leans Metallurg Bekabad's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%

OKMK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Metallurg Bekabad	OKMK
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	10
Draws	12	10
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	2	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Super League

Metallurg Bekabad vs OKMK

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

May 31, 2024 Super League

OKMK vs Metallurg Bekabad

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 23, 2023 Super League

OKMK vs Metallurg Bekabad

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

2:4

Apr 16, 2023 Super League

Metallurg Bekabad vs OKMK

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Aug 25, 2022 Uzbekistan Cup

OKMK vs Metallurg Bekabad

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Toshkuziev A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurazzakov N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 86 / 100

OKMK 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Metallurg Bekabad OKMK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Metallurg Bekabad scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Metallurg Bekabad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS OKMK

2 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nasaf Qarshi	26	15	7	4	35:18	52
2	OKMK	26	14	5	7	40:29	47
3	Navbahor Namangan	26	11	10	5	42:31	43
4	Sogdiana	26	12	7	7	41:29	43
5	Neftchi Fargona	26	11	10	5	32:24	43
6	Pakhtakor	26	11	5	10	42:37	38
7	Termez Surkhon	26	10	6	10	30:31	36
8	Din. Samarkand	26	9	5	12	35:38	32
9	Andijan	26	6	12	8	36:36	30
10	Bunyodkor	26	7	9	10	27:38	30
11	Qizilqum	26	6	9	11	25:34	27
12	Olympic	26	6	7	13	22:38	25
13	Metallurg Bekabad	26	3	14	9	22:30	23
14	Lok. Tashkent	26	5	6	15	28:44	21