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Metallurg Bekabad vs Pakhtakor II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Metallurg Stadium, Bekabad
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Abdumuminov A.

AI Match Summary

Metallurg Bekabad in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Metallurg Bekabad
15%
Draws
14%
Pakhtakor II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metallurg Bekabad lately — more wins on the board than Pakhtakor II.
  • Metallurg Bekabad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 20%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad Pakhtakor II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.97 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs Pakhtakor II
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumuminov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Pakhtakor II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad Pakhtakor II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Pakhtakor II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Metallurg Bekabad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS Pakhtakor II
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metallurg Bekabad

(Home)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

Pakhtakor II

(Away)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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