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Metalosport Galati vs Aerostar

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metalosport Galati play Aerostar in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2016/2017. Aerostar are favorites here. Recently, Metalosport Galati averaged 0.27 goals scored and 5.03 conceded. Aerostar averaged 1.98 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, Metalosport Galati won 2, Aerostar won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2018 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Metalosport Galati and 0.93 for Aerostar. This points to a Aerostar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Metalosport Galati
15%
Draws
71%
Aerostar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Metalosport Galati picked up more points recently compared to Aerostar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Metalosport Galati Clean Sheet 24%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalosport Galati Aerostar
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 1 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 29 16
Goals Scored 0.27 1.98
Goals Conceded 5.03 1.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Metalosport Galati
3:0
Nov 11, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Metalosport Galati vs Aerostar
1:10
Mar 11, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Metalosport Galati vs Aerostar
0:2
Sep 9, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Metalosport Galati
0:1
May 28, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Metalosport Galati vs Aerostar
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalosport Galati 17 / 100
Aerostar 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalosport Galati Aerostar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aerostar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metalosport Galati attacking → ← attacking Aerostar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalosport Galati scored in 18% of their last 33 games.

Aerostar let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Metalosport Galati went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Aerostar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 61
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stiinta Miroslava28204465:3164
2AFC Harman28196363:1963
3Miercurea Ciuc28196361:1863
4Aerostar28146847:2948
5Avantul Valea Marului281341149:5343
6Roman281241248:5040
7Sporting Liesti281151240:3838
8Cetate Rasnov281151233:3138
9CSM Ramnicu Sarat281041433:3534
10Metalosport Galati28861425:4130
11Atletico Vaslui28921735:5329
12Odorheiu28841627:6328
13CSM Pascani28651741:6523
14Sportul Chiscani28442026:6716
15SC Bacau281051348:48-25