Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalul Buzau vs Afumati

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass, Buzau
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bancila D.
45'
Cretu G.
45' Event
Diomande M.

AI Match Summary

Metalul Buzau in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalul Buzau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Metalul Buzau
20%
Draws
47%
Afumati
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afumati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metalul Buzau lately — more wins on the board than Afumati.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Metalul Buzau have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 18%
Afumati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalul Buzau Afumati
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs Afumati
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga 2
Afumati vs Metalul Buzau
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs Afumati
1:0
Nov 16, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Afumati vs Metalul Buzau
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalul Buzau Compare

Top Goalscorer Cretu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Afumati Compare

Top Goalscorer Diomande M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalul Buzau 32 / 100
Afumati 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalul Buzau Afumati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afumati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Metalul Buzau's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Afumati conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Metalul Buzau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalul Buzau VS Afumati
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalul Buzau

(Home)
19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1
Metalul Buzau
13 Sept
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Unirea Slobozia
05 Sept
Selimbar
1 : 1
Metalul Buzau
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3
Chindia Targoviste
22 Aug
CSM Slatina
2 : 0
Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6

Afumati

(Away)
02 Oct
Petrolul
3 : 2
Afumati
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Afumati
2 : 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
29 Aug
Afumati
2 : 1
Unirea Slobozia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 8 7 1 0 17:5 22
2 Politehnica Timisoara 8 6 2 0 18:7 20
3 CSM Resita 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 FC Bacau 8 4 3 1 19:8 15
5 Chindia Targoviste 8 5 0 3 17:8 15
6 Popesti Leordeni 8 4 3 1 19:14 15
7 Concordia 8 5 0 3 17:13 15
8 Metalul Buzau 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
9 Afumati 8 4 2 2 12:12 14
10 Cetatea Suceava 8 3 3 2 15:11 12
11 Gloria Bistrita 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
12 Metaloglobus Bucharest 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
13 FC ASA Tg. Mures 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
14 Ramnicu Valcea 8 3 2 3 10:13 11
15 FC Bihor 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
16 Selimbar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
17 Stefanesti 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
18 Steaua Bucuresti 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
19 Unirea Slobozia 8 1 1 6 11:12 4
20 CSM Satu Mare 8 0 4 4 3:10 4
21 CSC Dumbravita 8 0 3 5 5:16 3
22 CS Din. Bucuresti 8 1 0 7 9:27 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)