Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalurgi Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 Poladi Stadium, Rustavi
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Barabadze R.
79' Event
Kvernadze O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Metalurgi Rustavi
35%
Draws
46%
Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi have won more games recently than Metalurgi Rustavi.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Torpedo Kutaisi taking it.
  • Regular Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Metalurgi Rustavi Clean Sheet 20%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalurgi Rustavi Torpedo Kutaisi
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:1
Dec 7, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Metalurgi Rustavi
0:1
Nov 9, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:1
Aug 10, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Metalurgi Rustavi
1:1
Nov 18, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Metalurgi Rustavi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalurgi Rustavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Barabadze R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvernadze O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalurgi Rustavi 10 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalurgi Rustavi Torpedo Kutaisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Kutaisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Metalurgi Rustavi scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Metalurgi Rustavi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Torpedo Kutaisi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalurgi Rustavi

(Home)
27 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 5
Locomotive Tbilisi
22 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2
Metalurgi Rustavi
13 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 0
WIT Georgia
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0
Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dila Gori 30 19 7 4 50:21 64
2 Dinamo Batumi 30 18 4 8 40:24 58
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 30 17 7 6 56:28 58
4 Tskhinvali 30 16 5 9 47:37 53
5 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 13 7 10 39:36 46
6 Samtredia 30 13 6 11 40:31 45
7 Shukura 30 11 8 11 36:38 41
8 Torpedo Kutaisi 30 10 11 9 39:33 41
9 Guria 30 10 9 11 38:43 39
10 Kolkheti 1913 30 9 10 11 31:31 37
11 Merani Martvili 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
12 FC Zugdidi 30 8 9 13 24:45 33
13 Bolnisi 30 9 5 16 32:46 32
14 Metalurgi Rustavi 30 6 8 16 25:46 26
15 WIT Georgia 30 7 5 18 27:40 26
16 FC Zestaponi 30 6 8 16 40:61 26
Relegation - Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)