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Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSM Deva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metalurgistul Cugir host CSM Deva in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Metalurgistul Cugir at 1.71 goals for, 1.61 against; CSM Deva at 1.96 for, 2.18 against. Head-to-head, Metalurgistul Cugir have won 3 to CSM Deva's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2019, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.13 - 2.13) back CSM Deva to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Metalurgistul Cugir
35%
Draws
32%
CSM Deva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Deva lately — more wins on the board than Metalurgistul Cugir.
  • Metalurgistul Cugir are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Metalurgistul Cugir here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Metalurgistul Cugir Clean Sheet 10%
CSM Deva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalurgistul Cugir CSM Deva
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSM Deva
2:3
Sep 28, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Deva vs Metalurgistul Cugir
2:3
May 24, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSM Deva
2:0
Nov 27, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Deva vs Metalurgistul Cugir
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalurgistul Cugir 40 / 100
CSM Deva 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalurgistul Cugir CSM Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Metalurgistul Cugir found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

CSM Deva has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Metalurgistul Cugir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalurgistul Cugir VS CSM Deva
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalurgistul Cugir

(Home)
02 Oct
Politehnica Timisoara II
1 : 1
Metalurgistul Cugir
26 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
1 : 3
Viitorul Arad
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
2 : 2
Unirea Alba-Iulia
11 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 1
Timisul Sag
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CSM Deva

(Away)
03 Oct
CSM Deva
5 : 1
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
30 Sept
Campionii Arges
2 : 1
CSM Deva
26 Sept
Blaj
5 : 5
CSM Deva
22 Sept
CSM Deva
0 : 3
Unirea Santana
18 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
0 : 0
CSM Deva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blaj 7 5 1 1 17:11 16
2 Unirea Santana 7 5 0 2 14:4 15
3 Unirea Alba-Iulia 7 4 2 1 21:4 14
4 Timisul Sag 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
5 CSM Deva 7 3 3 1 18:12 12
6 Progresul Pecica 7 3 1 3 15:13 10
7 Viitorul Arad 7 2 3 2 8:11 9
8 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 7 2 3 2 8:12 9
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 7 1 3 3 10:12 6
10 Politehnica Timisoara II 7 1 1 5 9:19 4
11 Univ. Alba Iulia 7 0 3 4 4:13 3
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 7 0 2 5 2:19 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)