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Metalurgistul Cugir vs Univ. Alba Iulia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metalurgistul Cugir host Univ. Alba Iulia in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Metalurgistul Cugir at 1.73 goals for, 1.63 against; Univ. Alba Iulia at 1.62 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Univ. Alba Iulia slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.25) back Univ. Alba Iulia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Metalurgistul Cugir
35%
Draws
19%
Univ. Alba Iulia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metalurgistul Cugir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Metalurgistul Cugir average 1.73 goals a game right now, well clear of Univ. Alba Iulia's 1.62.
  • Metalurgistul Cugir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Metalurgistul Cugir Clean Sheet 19%
Univ. Alba Iulia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalurgistul Cugir Univ. Alba Iulia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Univ. Alba Iulia
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Univ. Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir
2:2
Jul 30, 2025 Romanian Cup
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Univ. Alba Iulia
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Univ. Alba Iulia
0:3
Oct 12, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Univ. Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalurgistul Cugir 85 / 100
Univ. Alba Iulia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalurgistul Cugir Univ. Alba Iulia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalurgistul Cugir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Metalurgistul Cugir's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Univ. Alba Iulia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Metalurgistul Cugir remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metalurgistul Cugir VS Univ. Alba Iulia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalurgistul Cugir

(Home)
09 Oct
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 2
CSM Deva
02 Oct
Politehnica Timisoara II
1 : 1
Metalurgistul Cugir
26 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
1 : 3
Viitorul Arad
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
2 : 2
Unirea Alba-Iulia
Page 1 of 6

Univ. Alba Iulia

(Away)
09 Oct
Blaj
2 : 2
Univ. Alba Iulia
02 Oct
Univ. Alba Iulia
0 : 1
Unirea Santana
25 Sept
Timisul Sag
1 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
22 Sept
Progresul Pecica
6 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
18 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
0 : 0
CSM Deva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unirea Alba-Iulia 8 5 2 1 23:4 17
2 Blaj 8 5 2 1 19:13 17
3 Timisul Sag 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
4 Unirea Santana 8 5 0 3 15:6 15
5 CSM Deva 8 4 3 1 20:12 15
6 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 8 3 3 2 13:12 12
7 Viitorul Arad 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Progresul Pecica 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 8 1 3 4 10:14 6
10 Univ. Alba Iulia 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
11 Politehnica Timisoara II 8 1 1 6 9:21 4
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 8 0 2 6 3:23 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)