Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs 11 Deportivo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Monterrosa M.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Portillo I.
42' Event
Rivas Y.

AI Match Summary

Metapan play 11 Deportivo in the Primera Division 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metapan averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. 11 Deportivo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Metapan won 3, 11 Deportivo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Metapan and 1.00 for 11 Deportivo. This points to a Metapan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Metapan
39%
Draws
31%
11 Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Metapan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to 11 Deportivo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Division 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan 11 Deportivo
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Metapan
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs 11 Deportivo
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs 11 Deportivo
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Metapan
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Metapan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Portillo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monterrosa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

11 Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 41 / 100
11 Deportivo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan 11 Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metapan scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

11 Deportivo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Metapan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

11 Deportivo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila20134337:1743
2Luis Angel Firpo20116334:1639
3Alianza FC20123528:1139
4Metapan2098322:1335
5Municipal Limeno2069521:2027
6Cacahuatique2069518:2427
7Fuerte San Francisco2066815:2024
8FAS2057817:2322
9Platense Municipal20551018:2520
10Dragon20421417:3014
1111 Deportivo20151412:408