Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Alianza FC

El Salvador El Salvador

Copa Presidente Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Urrutia J.
78' Event
Gustavo Souza

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Presidente tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Metapan
44%
Draws
20%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza FC lately — more wins on the board than Metapan.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Alianza FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Metapan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Metapan Clean Sheet 18%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Alianza FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Copa Presidente
Metapan vs Alianza FC
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Presidente
Alianza FC vs Metapan
3:1
Apr 2, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Alianza FC
0:0
Feb 5, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Metapan
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Alianza FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrutia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 36 / 100
Alianza FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metapan's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Alianza FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Metapan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Alianza FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
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Alianza FC

(Away)
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Batanecos0
Luis Angel Firpo5
Alianza FC4
Metapan2
Municipal Limeno2
El Roble de Ilobasco1
Aguila8
Izalco3
FAS9
Dragon2
Platense Municipal1
Fuerte San Francisco2
Cacahuatique3
Hercules2
Inter Santa Tecla6
Zacatecoluca FC1
Quarter-finals
Luis Angel Firpo-
Alianza FC-
Municipal Limeno-
Aguila-
FAS-
Fuerte San Francisco-
Cacahuatique-
Inter Santa Tecla-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-