Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Esquivel J.
53'
Aguila G.
75' Event
Cetre D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Metapan and Jocoro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Metapan
30%
Draws
19%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jocoro haven't matched Metapan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Metapan a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Metapan Clean Sheet 19%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Jocoro
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs Jocoro
2:0
Feb 24, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Metapan
1:0
Nov 15, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Metapan
2:1
Sep 21, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Jocoro
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Metapan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquivel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cetre D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Jocoro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 85 / 100
Jocoro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Jocoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metapan scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Jocoro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Metapan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
08 Aug
Metapan
2 : 1
Aguila
02 Aug
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Metapan
31 Jul
Metapan
2 : 0
FAS
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
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Jocoro

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)