Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Municipal Limeno

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Dominguez R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Metapan and Municipal Limeno finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Metapan
33%
Draws
27%
Municipal Limeno
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Municipal Limeno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Metapan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Municipal Limeno
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Metapan
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
3:2
Aug 28, 2025 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Metapan
1:2
May 11, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Municipal Limeno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 50 / 100
Municipal Limeno 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Municipal Limeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metapan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Municipal Limeno let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Municipal Limeno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Municipal Limeno
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
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Municipal Limeno

(Away)
25 Jul
FAS
3 : 1
Municipal Limeno
18 May
FAS
2 : 0
Municipal Limeno
15 May
Municipal Limeno
1 : 0
FAS
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter Santa Tecla22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)