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Stadium Background

Metapan vs Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Tarifa G.
46'
Lopez B.
90'
Tarifa G.

AI Match Summary

Santa Tecla in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Metapan
15%
Draws
12%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Metapan have won more games recently than Santa Tecla.
  • Win probability leans Metapan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Santa Tecla
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.35 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Metapan
0:4
Mar 6, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs Santa Tecla
0:1
Oct 14, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Metapan
2:3
Aug 20, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Santa Tecla
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Santa Tecla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarifa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 95 / 100
Santa Tecla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Tecla conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Metapan scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Santa Tecla registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
28 Aug
Municipal Limeno
3 : 1
Metapan
23 Aug
Metapan
2 : 0
Alianza FC
15 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0
Metapan
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Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)