Sport Picks
Metlaoui vs Etoile Sahel Prediction & H2H Stats
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui 
Match Events
21'
21'
Chaabani M.
40'
40'
Soltani Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Ben Abdallah Y. In: Abid O.
Out: Ben Abdallah Y.
AI Match Summary
Metlaoui in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metlaoui.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile Sahel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Etoile Sahel have won more games recently than Metlaoui.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metlaoui | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Metlaoui
2:1
Apr 29, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Etoile Sahel
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Metlaoui
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Metlaoui
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Etoile Sahel
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metlaoui Compare
Top Goalscorer Soltani Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mnasri H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Etoile Sahel Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metlaoui 42 / 100
Etoile Sahel 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metlaoui Etoile Sahel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Etoile Sahel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Metlaoui found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Etoile Sahel let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Metlaoui VS Etoile Sahel
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Metlaoui
(Home) 13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0 Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1 Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1 Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3 Esperance Tunis
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 4
Etoile Sahel
(Away) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
