Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metlaoui vs Hamam-Sousse

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metlaoui host Hamam-Sousse in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This has Hamam-Sousse written all over it on paper. Metlaoui have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Hamam-Sousse's 1.48 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Metlaoui have won 0 to Hamam-Sousse's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2023, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Hamam-Sousse to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Metlaoui
35%
Draws
49%
Hamam-Sousse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hamam-Sousse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Metlaoui haven't matched Hamam-Sousse's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 20%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metlaoui Hamam-Sousse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Hamam-Sousse
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
0:0
Dec 31, 2022 Club Friendly
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
2:0
Jun 22, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
0:0
May 23, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metlaoui 36 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metlaoui Hamam-Sousse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamam-Sousse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamam-Sousse has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Metlaoui scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Metlaoui remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metlaoui VS Hamam-Sousse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metlaoui

(Home)
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0
JS Kairouan
09 May
Zarzis
1 : 0
Metlaoui
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Hamam-Sousse

(Away)
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1
Hamam-Sousse
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2
Sfax Railways
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 CA Bizertin 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
3 PS Sakiet Eddaier 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 CS Sfaxien 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Monastir 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Ben Guerdane 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Etoile Sahel 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Zarzis 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Jeunesse Sportive 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Esperance Tunis 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 AS Marsa 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Hamam-Sousse 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Stade Tunisien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 Hammam-Lif 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Olympique Beja 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
16 Metlaoui 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)