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Metlaoui vs Hamam-Sousse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Toumi M. In: Tlili A.
Out: Toumi M.
31'
El Beji N.
46'
Sub
Slimane F. B. In: Martin O.
Out: Slimane F. B.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Metlaoui and Hamam-Sousse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metlaoui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Metlaoui
15%
Draws
0%
Hamam-Sousse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metlaoui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Metlaoui haven't matched Hamam-Sousse's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Metlaoui a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 68%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metlaoui Hamam-Sousse
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Hamam-Sousse
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Hamam-Sousse
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
0:0
Dec 31, 2022 Club Friendly
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
2:0
Jun 22, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Metlaoui
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metlaoui Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzaabya M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Hamam-Sousse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metlaoui 50 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metlaoui Hamam-Sousse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metlaoui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Hamam-Sousse registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hamam-Sousse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Metlaoui scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Metlaoui VS Hamam-Sousse
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Metlaoui

(Home)
18 Oct
AS Marsa
3 : 0
Metlaoui
11 Oct
Metlaoui
1 : 2
Stade Tunisien
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6

Hamam-Sousse

(Away)
17 Oct
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 2
Ben Guerdane
11 Oct
Zarzis
2 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ben Guerdane 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
3 Monastir 6 3 3 0 8:5 12
4 PS Sakiet Eddaier 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
5 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Jeunesse Sportive 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 AS Marsa 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
10 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
11 Etoile Sahel 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
12 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
13 Hammam-Lif 6 1 1 4 2:5 4
14 Metlaoui 6 1 0 5 3:9 3
15 Olympique Beja 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 6 0 1 5 1:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)