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Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metlaoui host Stade Tunisien in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Metlaoui have averaged 0.82 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Stade Tunisien's 0.93 scored and 0.78 conceded. Head-to-head, Metlaoui have won 1 to Stade Tunisien's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 0.88) back Stade Tunisien to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Metlaoui
20%
Draws
58%
Stade Tunisien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Tunisien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Tunisien average 0.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Metlaoui's 0.82.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metlaoui Stade Tunisien
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.82 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Metlaoui
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien
0:0
Sep 26, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Metlaoui
1:0
May 27, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metlaoui 36 / 100
Stade Tunisien 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metlaoui Stade Tunisien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metlaoui found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Stade Tunisien has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Metlaoui went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metlaoui VS Stade Tunisien
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metlaoui

(Home)
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

Stade Tunisien

(Away)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)