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Metlaoui vs Zarzis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metlaoui host Zarzis in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Zarzis have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Metlaoui have conceded 1.03 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Metlaoui have won 1 to Zarzis's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Zarzis. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Metlaoui
15%
Draws
57%
Zarzis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarzis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zarzis have won more games recently than Metlaoui.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 20%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metlaoui Zarzis
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Metlaoui
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Zarzis
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Metlaoui vs Zarzis
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Zarzis
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Metlaoui
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metlaoui 32 / 100
Zarzis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metlaoui Zarzis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarzis's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Metlaoui scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Zarzis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Metlaoui VS Zarzis
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metlaoui

(Home)
11 Oct
Metlaoui
1 : 2
Stade Tunisien
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
Page 1 of 6

Zarzis

(Away)
11 Oct
Zarzis
2 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
11 AS Marsa 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Etoile Sahel 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 Hammam-Lif 5 1 0 4 1:4 3
14 Metlaoui 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
15 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)