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Metro Claremont vs Hobart City

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metro Claremont play Hobart City in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metro Claremont averaged 1.6 goals scored and 4.2 conceded. Hobart City averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Metro Claremont won 3, Hobart City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Metro Claremont and 1.36 for Hobart City. This points to a Hobart City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Metro Claremont
15%
Draws
55%
Hobart City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hobart City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Metro Claremont picked up more points recently compared to Hobart City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Metro Claremont Clean Sheet 18%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metro Claremont Hobart City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.6 2.31
Goals Conceded 4.2 1.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Tasmania Southern Championship
Metro Claremont vs Hobart City
6:2
Jun 24, 2023 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs Metro Claremont
3:3
Sep 10, 2022 Tasmania Southern Championship
Metro Claremont vs Hobart City
2:1
Jun 25, 2022 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs Metro Claremont
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metro Claremont 31 / 100
Hobart City 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metro Claremont Hobart City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hobart City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hobart City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metro Claremont attacking → ← attacking Hobart City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metro Claremont scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hobart City let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Metro Claremont went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hobart City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Town Eagles16113262:2136
2South East United16101573:5331
3South Hobart U211692548:4229
4Olympia Warriors1682641:3626
5University of Tasmania1681750:4125
6Taroona1673643:3724
7Hobart United1663727:3321
8Metro Claremont16311234:7310
9Hobart City16121319:615