Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2022/2023

Corinthian

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Metropolitan Police play Corinthian in the FA Cup 2022/2023. Metropolitan Police are favorites here. Recently, Metropolitan Police averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Corinthian averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Metropolitan Police won 1, Corinthian won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 6, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.65 for Metropolitan Police and 1.57 for Corinthian. This points to a Metropolitan Police double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Metropolitan Police

15%

Draws

27%

Corinthian

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitan Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Metropolitan Police picked up more points recently compared to Corinthian.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.65 vs 1.57 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Metropolitan Police Clean Sheet 14%

Corinthian Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Metropolitan Police	Corinthian
Matches Played	31	21
Wins	10	4
Draws	6	2
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.16	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.71	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2022 FA Cup

Corinthian vs Metropolitan Police

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup

Metropolitan Police vs Corinthian

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropolitan Police 55 / 100

Corinthian 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Metropolitan Police Corinthian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitan Police Win (1)

Secondary Pick Metropolitan Police & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metropolitan Police attacking → ← attacking Corinthian

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metropolitan Police scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Corinthian let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Metropolitan Police went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Corinthian lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 14

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.40

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.80