Sport Picks
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Match Events
33'
33'
Ramirez S.
46'
46'
Sub
Lobo J. In: Ramirez Holguin W. S.
Out: Lobo J.
56'
56'
Sub
Montes G. In: Marquez J.
Out: Montes G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga FUTVE game between Metropolitanos and Estudiantes Merida finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metropolitanos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metropolitanos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Metropolitanos carry the better recent record into this one.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Metropolitanos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Metropolitanos here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metropolitanos | Estudiantes Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Metropolitanos
0:1
May 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Metropolitanos
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metropolitanos Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miku
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Estudiantes Merida Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metropolitanos 95 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metropolitanos Estudiantes Merida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metropolitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Metropolitanos scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Estudiantes Merida conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Metropolitanos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Metropolitanos VS Estudiantes Merida
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Metropolitanos
(Home) 16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0 Caracas
12 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 2 Metropolitanos
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1 Metropolitanos
03 Sept
Metropolitanos
4 : 1 Trujillanos
30 Aug
Portuguesa
2 : 2 Metropolitanos
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0 Caracas
03 Sept
Metropolitanos
4 : 1 Trujillanos
22 Aug
Metropolitanos
3 : 1 Dep. Tachira
09 Aug
Metropolitanos
2 : 1 Universidad Central
02 Aug
Metropolitanos
2 : 1 Academia Puerto Cabello
Page 1 of 3
Estudiantes Merida
(Away) 16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0 Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
10 Aug
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoategui | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)
