Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metz vs Rodez Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fall P. M.
Assist: Miguel F.
24'
Ruiz J.
35' Event
Issanchou C.
Assist: Nagera K.

AI Match Summary

Metz in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Metz
35%
Draws
26%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodez lately — more wins on the board than Metz.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Metz taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Metz Clean Sheet 15%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz Rodez
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 2
Metz vs Rodez
4:1
May 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Metz vs Rodez
3:3
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Metz
1:3
Jan 31, 2023 Ligue 2
Metz vs Rodez
1:1
Aug 30, 2022 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Metz
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metz Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall P. M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Deminguet J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Issanchou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz 57 / 100
Rodez 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodez conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Metz found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Metz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metz VS Rodez
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz

(Home)
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1
Metz
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
Page 1 of 7

Rodez

(Away)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)