Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metz W vs Auxerre W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metz W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Metz W
15%
Draws
48%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auxerre W lately — more wins on the board than Metz W.
  • Auxerre W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Auxerre W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Metz W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Auxerre W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
2:4
May 2, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
3:2
Jan 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Metz W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 22 / 100
Auxerre W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Metz W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Auxerre W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Metz W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Auxerre W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre W

(Away)
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
28 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)