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Metz W vs Le Havre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Metz W
15%
Draws
48%
Le Havre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Havre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Le Havre W have won more games recently than Metz W.
  • Metz W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Le Havre W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Le Havre W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Le Havre W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Metz W Clean Sheet 15%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Le Havre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Havre W
1:2
Jan 23, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Havre W
0:1
Sep 12, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Metz W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 57 / 100
Le Havre W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Le Havre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Le Havre W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Metz W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Le Havre W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
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Le Havre W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)