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Metz W vs Le Mans W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W Logo

Metz W

1 - 2
FT
Le Mans W Logo

Le Mans W

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
18' Event
32' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Metz W
20%
Draws
47%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans W have won more games recently than Metz W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Le Mans W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Le Mans W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Mans W
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Mans W
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Metz W
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Metz W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 14 / 100
Le Mans W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metz W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Metz W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Le Mans W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Le Mans W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)