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Mexico U17 vs Nicaragua U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 Logo

Mexico U17

6 - 0
FT
Nicaragua U17 Logo

Nicaragua U17

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Barajas F.
Assist: Lomeli B.
23' Event
Garcia K.
Assist: Alvarez G.
30' Event
Alvarez G.
Assist: Carrillo S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mexico U17
15%
Draws
39%
Nicaragua U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nicaragua U17 haven't matched Mexico U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mexico U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 Nicaragua U17
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.41 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 World Cup U17
Mexico U17 vs Nicaragua U17
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Nicaragua U17
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barajas F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Nicaragua U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 83 / 100
Nicaragua U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 Nicaragua U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U17 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Mexico U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nicaragua U17 has conceded goals in 48% of their last 21 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 VS Nicaragua U17
0.88 Goals Scored 2.6
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.4
63% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
Page 1 of 6

Nicaragua U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Panama U17
4 : 1
Nicaragua U17
07 Feb
Dominica U17
1 : 7
Nicaragua U17
06 Feb
Nicaragua U17
3 : 0
Anguilla U17
16 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 2
Nicaragua U17
13 Feb
Dominica U17
1 : 4
Nicaragua U17
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U17 6
Nicaragua U17 0
El Salvador U17 3
Trinidad & Tobago U17 2
Panama U17 2
Cuba U17 0
Honduras U17 6
Bermuda U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 2
Canada U17 3
Haiti U17 0
Jamaica U17 1
Guatemala U17 2
USA U17 7
Dominican Republic U17 0
Quarter-finals
Mexico U17 3
El Salvador U17 0
Panama U17 2
Honduras U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 0
Canada U17 3
Guatemala U17 3
USA U17 5
Semi-finals
Mexico U17 5
Panama U17 0
Canada U17 0
USA U17 2
Final
Mexico U17 3
USA U17 1