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Mexico U17 vs Panama U17

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 Logo

Mexico U17

5 - 0
FT
Panama U17 Logo

Panama U17

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Tovares K. In: Gonzalez E.
Out: Tovares K.
37' Event
Carrillo S.
Assist: Barajas F.
45'
Romero J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mexico U17
15%
Draws
36%
Panama U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U17 come out ahead of Panama U17 on wins alone.
  • Mexico U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mexico U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Panama U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 Panama U17
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.29 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Panama U17
5:0
Feb 15, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Panama U17
1:1
May 3, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U17
Panama U17 vs Mexico U17
0:1
Feb 28, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U17
Panama U17 vs Mexico U17
1:3
Apr 20, 2013 CONCACAF Championship U17
Panama U17 vs Mexico U17
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Panama U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 83 / 100
Panama U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 Panama U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico U17 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Panama U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 VS Panama U17
2.13 Goals Scored 2.71
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
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Panama U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Panama U17
4 : 1
Nicaragua U17
08 Feb
Anguilla U17
0 : 6
Panama U17
05 Feb
Panama U17
6 : 1
Dominica U17
11 Nov
Uzbekistan U17
6 : 1
Panama U17
08 Nov
Paraguay U17
2 : 1
Panama U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U17 6
Nicaragua U17 0
El Salvador U17 3
Trinidad & Tobago U17 2
Panama U17 2
Cuba U17 0
Honduras U17 6
Bermuda U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 2
Canada U17 3
Haiti U17 0
Jamaica U17 1
Guatemala U17 2
USA U17 7
Dominican Republic U17 0
Quarter-finals
Mexico U17 3
El Salvador U17 0
Panama U17 2
Honduras U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 0
Canada U17 3
Guatemala U17 3
USA U17 5
Semi-finals
Mexico U17 5
Panama U17 0
Canada U17 0
USA U17 2
Final
Mexico U17 3
USA U17 1