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Mexico U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Cup Women U17 2025 FMF Asociación, Toluca
Mexico U17 W Logo

Mexico U17 W

5 - 0
FT
Bermuda U17 W Logo

Bermuda U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Reyes C.
17' Event
Solis J.
50' Event
Miyazato A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Mexico U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mexico U17 W
30%
Draws
19%
Bermuda U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mexico U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 17%
Bermuda U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 W Bermuda U17 W
Matches Played 43 20
Wins 25 5
Draws 8 1
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.74 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W
5:0
Apr 20, 2020 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Bermuda U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

Bermuda U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 W 84 / 100
Bermuda U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 W Bermuda U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U17 W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Bermuda U17 W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.

Mexico U17 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 W VS Bermuda U17 W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.29
0.5 Goals Conceded 4.71
13% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17 W

(Home)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
Page 1 of 9

Bermuda U17 W

(Away)
22 Mar
Haiti U17 W
2 : 0
Bermuda U17 W
19 Mar
Bermuda U17 W
0 : 9
Puerto Rico U17 W
17 Mar
USA U17 W
19 : 0
Bermuda U17 W
28 Jan
Panama U17 W
2 : 2
Bermuda U17 W
26 Jan
Bonaire U17 W
1 : 7
Bermuda U17 W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Costa Rica U17 W 3 2 0 1 17:5 6
3 Haiti U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:21 3
4 Bermuda U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 W 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Panama U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Nicaragua U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 El Salvador U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
3 Honduras U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:9 4
4 Trinidad & Tobago U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams