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Mexico U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Espinosa D.
36' Event
Ovalle L.
49'
Lake R.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2016 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mexico U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
New Zealand U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U17 W haven't matched Mexico U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mexico U17 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Mexico U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17 W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mexico U17 W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 68%
New Zealand U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 W New Zealand U17 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 3.13 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.38 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International Women
Mexico U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
0:0
Sep 30, 2016 World Cup Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
5:0
Sep 23, 2012 World Cup Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ovalle L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

New Zealand U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 W 95 / 100
New Zealand U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 W New Zealand U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U17 W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

New Zealand U17 W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mexico U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 W VS New Zealand U17 W
3.13 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17 W

(Home)
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
12 Feb
Mexico U17 W
0 : 1
Poland U17 W
09 Feb
Mexico U17 W
0 : 1
England U17 W
Page 1 of 6

New Zealand U17 W

(Away)
25 Oct
New Zealand U17 W
0 : 4
Zambia U17 W
22 Oct
Paraguay U17 W
4 : 1
New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Japan U17 W
3 : 0
New Zealand U17 W
22 Oct
Ecuador U17 W
4 : 0
New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Dominican Republic U17 W
1 : 1
New Zealand U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U17 W321010:27
2Spain U17 W32109:17
3New Zealand U17 W31025:73
4Jordan U17 W30031:150
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U17 W32105:27
2Venezuela U17 W32015:36
3Canada U17 W31114:54
4Cameroon U17 W30033:70
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U17 W32107:37
2England U17 W31205:45
3Brazil U17 W31022:33
4Nigeria U17 W30120:41
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U17 W330013:29
2Ghana U17 W32013:66
3USA U17 W31029:63
4Paraguay U17 W30031:120
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2016 (Play Offs)