Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U17 W vs Nicaragua U17 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vargas V.
17' Event
Meza D.
28' Event
Vargas V.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 W host Nicaragua U17 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Mexico U17 W at 0.75 goals for, 0.63 against; Nicaragua U17 W at 4.14 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Mexico U17 W have won 2 to Nicaragua U17 W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2022, ending 10:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.38) point toward Mexico U17 W. Mexico U17 W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mexico U17 W
22%
Draws
18%
Nicaragua U17 W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mexico U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nicaragua U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Mexico U17 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 W Nicaragua U17 W
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.75 4.14
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 4.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Nicaragua U17 W
10:0
Apr 18, 2020 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Nicaragua U17 W
0:0
Apr 20, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Nicaragua U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meza D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nicaragua U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.76
Avg xA / game 2.3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 W 56 / 100
Nicaragua U17 W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 W Nicaragua U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U17 W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nicaragua U17 W let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Mexico U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nicaragua U17 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 W VS Nicaragua U17 W
0.75 Goals Scored 4.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U17 W330027:09
2Panama U17 W32017:86
3Nicaragua U17 W31024:123
4Trinidad & Tobago U17 W30031:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17 W321016:17
2Jamaica U17 W321011:27
3Dominican Republic U17 W31026:133
4Bermuda U17 W30030:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17 W330038:09
2Costa Rica U17 W320113:76
3Puerto Rico U17 W31025:173
4Grenada U17 W30031:330
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador U17 W330011:09
2Haiti U17 W32015:36
3Cuba U17 W31022:53
4Guatemala U17 W30031:110