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Mexico U20 vs Aruba U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2020
Sun, Jun 21, 2020
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico U20 host Aruba U20 in the CONCACAF Championship U20 2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mexico U20 have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Aruba U20's 0.9 scored and 2.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Mexico U20 slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.19) back Mexico U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mexico U20
20%
Draws
28%
Aruba U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Aruba U20 haven't matched Mexico U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mexico U20 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 Aruba U20
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2020 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Aruba U20
0:0
Nov 10, 2018 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Aruba U20
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 85 / 100
Aruba U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 Aruba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U20 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Mexico U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aruba U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 VS Aruba U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20

(Home)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
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Aruba U20

(Away)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
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