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Mexico U20 vs Guatemala U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Mexico U20 Logo

Mexico U20

4 - 0
FT
Guatemala U20 Logo

Guatemala U20

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ramirez D.
Assist: Inda S.
46'
Sub
Arias P. In: Pacay J.
Out: Arias P.
54' Event
Camberos H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 game between Mexico U20 and Guatemala U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Mexico U20
15%
Draws
18%
Guatemala U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 Guatemala U20
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Guatemala U20
4:0
Jul 25, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Mexico U20
1:2
Jun 30, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Mexico U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camberos H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Guatemala U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 95 / 100
Guatemala U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 Guatemala U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U20 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guatemala U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 VS Guatemala U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20

(Home)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
Page 1 of 7

Guatemala U20

(Away)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Haiti U20 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 Cuba U20 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 El Salvador U20 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Jamaica U20 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Panama U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Honduras U20 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams