Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U20 vs Japan U19

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Otani D. C.
40' Event
Himeno M.
45' Event
Yamamoto T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Mexico U20 and Japan U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Mexico U20
15%
Draws
24%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U20 come out ahead of Japan U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mexico U20 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 Japan U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.7 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.82 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Mexico U20 vs Japan U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camberos H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.91

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Otani D. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Himeno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 84 / 100
Japan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 Japan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U20 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Japan U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mexico U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 VS Japan U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20

(Home)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
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Japan U19

(Away)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
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