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Mexico U20 W vs Germany U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 2022 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Frohlich C.
42'
Guzman K.
42'
Grawe L.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U20 W in this World Cup Women U20 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mexico U20 W
15%
Draws
59%
Germany U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U20 W haven't matched Germany U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Germany U20 W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Germany U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Germany U20 W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mexico U20 W Clean Sheet 14%
Germany U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 W Germany U20 W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.58 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Friendly International Women
Germany U20 W vs Mexico U20 W
2:1
Aug 16, 2022 World Cup Women U20
Mexico U20 W vs Germany U20 W
1:0
Nov 17, 2016 World Cup Women U20
Germany U20 W vs Mexico U20 W
3:0
Aug 21, 2006 World Cup Women U20
Mexico U20 W vs Germany U20 W
1:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Germany U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 W 19 / 100
Germany U20 W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 W Germany U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Mexico U20 W scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Germany U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Mexico U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 W VS Germany U20 W
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20 W

(Home)
11 Sept
Argentina U20 W
3 : 2
Mexico U20 W
08 Sept
Poland U20 W
2 : 1
Mexico U20 W
05 Sept
Mexico U20 W
2 : 2
Benin U20 W
29 Aug
Ghana U20 W
1 : 2
Mexico U20 W
09 Jun
Poland U20 W
2 : 0
Mexico U20 W
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Germany U20 W

(Away)
16 Sept
USA U20 W
3 : 2
Germany U20 W
12 Sept
Germany U20 W
5 : 1
Argentina U20 W
07 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 0
Germany U20 W
04 Sept
Germany U20 W
3 : 1
Nigeria U20 W
01 Sept
Germany U20 W
5 : 2
Venezuela U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Brazil U20 W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
3 Australia U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 W 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Mexico U20 W 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Germany U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:2 3
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U20 W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 France U20 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 South Korea U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Canada U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 W 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Netherlands U20 W 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 USA U20 W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2022 (Play Offs)