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Mexico U21 vs Colombia U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 1998
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Mexico U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Mexico U21
17%
Draws
70%
Colombia U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Colombia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mexico U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Colombia U21 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Mexico U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Colombia U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Colombia U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2011 Maurice Revello Tournament
Colombia U21 vs Mexico U21
2:1
Aug 17, 1998 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Colombia U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 14 / 100
Colombia U21 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Colombia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico U21 scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Colombia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mexico U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Colombia U21
1 Goals Scored 2.2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
16 Jun
France U21
1 : 0
Mexico U21
12 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 2
Mexico U21
09 Jun
France U20
4 : 1
Mexico U21
05 Jun
Mexico U21
2 : 0
Indonesia U19
02 Jun
Mexico U21
1 : 2
Venezuela U23
Page 1 of 7

Colombia U21

(Away)
26 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 0
Colombia U21
01 Aug
Colombia U21
2 : 1
Venezuela U21
29 Jul
Colombia U21
3 : 1
Haiti U21
25 Jul
Trinidad & Tobago U21
1 : 5
Colombia U21
23 Jul
Colombia U21
1 : 1
Honduras U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Venezuela U218
Nicaragua U211
Jamaica U212
Trinidad & Tobago U213
Costa Rica U211
El Salvador U210
Colombia U210
Mexico U212
Semi-finals
Venezuela U215
Trinidad & Tobago U212
Costa Rica U210
Mexico U212
Final
Venezuela U213
Mexico U211
Trinidad & Tobago U211
Costa Rica U216