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Mexico U21 vs Turkey U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Vargas C.
26' Event
Aguirre E.
31'
Kanatsizkus K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Mexico U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mexico U21
20%
Draws
23%
Turkey U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mexico U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Turkey U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Turkey U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
Mexico U21 vs Turkey U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Turkey U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 95 / 100
Turkey U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Turkey U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Turkey U20 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Mexico U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Turkey U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 6

Turkey U20

(Away)
26 Aug
Turkey U20
1 : 2
Tunisia U21
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
22 Aug
Morocco U20
2 : 2
Turkey U20
25 Mar
Romania U20
3 : 1
Turkey U20
20 Mar
Turkey U20
0 : 3
Italy U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U21 3
Turkey U20 1
Scotland U21 1
England U21 3
Final
Mexico U21 1
England U21 2
Turkey U20 1
Scotland U21 0