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Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21

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Central American & Caribbean Games 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games 2014 game between Mexico U21 and Venezuela U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mexico U21
44%
Draws
20%
Venezuela U21
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U21 haven't matched Venezuela U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Venezuela U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Venezuela U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Venezuela U21
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.75 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:2
Nov 29, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
4:1
Jul 19, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
0:1
Aug 21, 1998 Central American & Caribbean Games
Venezuela U21 vs Mexico U21
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 35 / 100
Venezuela U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Venezuela U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mexico U21 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Venezuela U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 24 matches.

Solid form: Mexico U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Venezuela U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U212
Cuba U211
Venezuela U211
Honduras U210
Final
Mexico U214
Venezuela U211
Cuba U213
Honduras U211