Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Maitan M.
87' Event
Moxica J.
Assist: Uribe J.
90'
Tello I.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games game between Mexico U21 and Venezuela U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
48%
Venezuela U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Venezuela U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Venezuela U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Venezuela U21
Matches Played 39 26
Wins 23 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:0
Jul 22, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:2
Nov 29, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
4:1
Jul 19, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
0:1
Aug 21, 1998 Central American & Caribbean Games
Venezuela U21 vs Mexico U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moxica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Venezuela U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 28 / 100
Venezuela U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Venezuela U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Venezuela U21 let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Venezuela U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
16 Jun
France U21
1 : 0
Mexico U21
12 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 2
Mexico U21
09 Jun
France U20
4 : 1
Mexico U21
Page 1 of 8

Venezuela U21

(Away)
01 Aug
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Guatemala U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
01 Aug
Colombia U21
2 : 1
Venezuela U21
28 Jul
Venezuela U21
1 : 0
Honduras U21
25 Jul
Venezuela U21
3 : 0
El Salvador U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Venezuela U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Dominican Republic U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Guatemala U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Panama U21 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Cuba U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Costa Rica U21 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)