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Stadium Background

Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Maitan M.
87' Event
Moxica J.
Assist: Uribe J.
90'
Tello I.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games game between Mexico U21 and Venezuela U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
46%
Venezuela U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Venezuela U21's 2.28 goals per match outpaces what Mexico U21 have produced (1.84).
  • Model gives Mexico U21 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Venezuela U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Venezuela U21
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 22 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.84 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.05 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
2:3
Jul 30, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:0
Jul 22, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:2
Nov 29, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
4:1
Jul 19, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moxica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Venezuela U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 48 / 100
Venezuela U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Venezuela U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Venezuela U21 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Venezuela U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
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Venezuela U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
06 Aug
Colombia U21
0 : 1
Venezuela U21
03 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
01 Aug
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Guatemala U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Venezuela U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Dominican Republic U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Guatemala U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Panama U21 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Cuba U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Costa Rica U21 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)