Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U23 vs Brazil U23

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leone T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mexico U23
15%
Draws
34%
Brazil U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brazil U23 lately — more wins on the board than Mexico U23.
  • Model gives Mexico U23 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Brazil U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Brazil U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2023 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Brazil U23
0:1
Aug 12, 2003 Pan American Games
Brazil U23 vs Mexico U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 35 / 100
Brazil U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Brazil U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Brazil U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Mexico U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brazil U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U23 VS Brazil U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U23

(Home)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 6

Brazil U23

(Away)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chile U23 1
USA U23 0
Brazil U23 1
Mexico U23 0
Final
Chile U23 1
Brazil U23 2
USA U23 1
Mexico U23 4