Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Al Oyayari A.
34' Event
Bautista A.
Assist: Dupuy L.
43' Event
Haji T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mexico U23 in this Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mexico U23
15%
Draws
42%
Saudi Arabia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U23 average 1.69 goals a game right now, well clear of Saudi Arabia U23's 1.65.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Saudi Arabia U23
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Mexico U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
3:2
Jun 8, 2021 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bautista A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Jaber A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 31 / 100
Saudi Arabia U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Saudi Arabia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Saudi Arabia U23 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Mexico U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saudi Arabia U23
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U23

(Home)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 6

Saudi Arabia U23

(Away)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
06 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
1 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U23
16 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Iraq U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 France U20 4 2 0 2 7:4 7
3 Mexico U23 4 3 0 1 6:8 7
4 Saudi Arabia U23 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 South Korea U21 4 0 0 4 1:5 1
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U23 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Italy U21 4 3 0 1 7:9 8
3 Japan U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Panama U23 4 1 0 3 6:5 4
5 Egypt U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Japan U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Panama U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Indonesia U20 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)