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Mexico vs Chile - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Gallardo J.
46'
Sub
Echeverria R. In: Mendez V.
Out: Echeverria R.
54' Event
Gutierrez M.
Assist: Tapia G.

AI Match Summary

Chile in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mexico
20%
Draws
60%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico have won more games recently than Chile.
  • Mexico are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Chile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Chile
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Friendly International
Mexico vs Chile
0:2
Dec 9, 2021 Friendly International
Mexico vs Chile
2:2
Mar 23, 2019 Friendly International
Mexico vs Chile
3:1
Oct 17, 2018 Friendly International
Mexico vs Chile
0:1
Jun 19, 2016 Copa América
Mexico vs Chile
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pizarro V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 42 / 100
Chile 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mexico scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Chile has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Chile's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Chile
1.88 Goals Scored 1.71
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
07 Oct
Mexico
0 : 2
Chile
04 Oct
USA
3 : 0
Mexico
30 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Peru
27 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Colombia
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
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Chile

(Away)
07 Oct
Mexico
0 : 2
Chile
30 Sept
USA
4 : 2
Chile
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
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