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Mexico vs Galactico Pegaso

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico play Galactico Pegaso in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mexico averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Galactico Pegaso averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Mexico won 2, Galactico Pegaso won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 21, 2010 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Mexico and 1.19 for Galactico Pegaso. This points to a Mexico double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mexico
31%
Draws
18%
Galactico Pegaso
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mexico picked up more points recently compared to Galactico Pegaso.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Galactico Pegaso Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Galactico Pegaso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galactico Pegaso vs Mexico
1:2
Dec 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Galactico Pegaso
1:1
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Galactico Pegaso
1:1
Nov 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galactico Pegaso vs Mexico
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 50 / 100
Galactico Pegaso 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Galactico Pegaso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mexico or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mexico attacking → ← attacking Galactico Pegaso

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Galactico Pegaso let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mexico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Galactico Pegaso lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 19
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RSD Alcala40277665:2288
2Parla402211763:3477
3Rayo Majadahonda402091153:3769
4Mexico4019111059:4368
5Rayo Vallecano B401714952:3465
6Getafe B401881462:4662
7CD Ciempozuelos4015151049:4260
8Real Madrid C4016101460:4658
9Vallecas CF4015121356:5357
10CF Fuenlabrada4015111450:4856
11CD Mostoles4015111448:4156
12Santa Ana401581746:5253
13San Sebastian Reyes4012171135:3453
14Atl. Madrid C4013141352:4953
15Atletico Pinto4014101653:4952
16Galactico Pegaso4013131448:4552
17Puerta Bonita4012151335:4151
18CD Las Rozas4012101858:6246
19Club Deportivo Colonia Ofigevi406122235:5930
20Pozuelo de Alarcon406112341:7529
21Collado Villalba40153431:1398