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Stadium Background

Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gallego A.
39' Event
Pacheco V.
49' Event
Reguilon M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Mexico and Pozuelo de Alarcon finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pozuelo de Alarcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mexico
39%
Draws
30%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Mexico are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 16%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Pozuelo de Alarcon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:3
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Mexico
1:2
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:0
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Mexico
0:0
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacheco V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 31 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Pozuelo de Alarcon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Pozuelo de Alarcon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mexico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622